Operation of active transport systems in conditions of multi-alternativeness and uncertainty

Abstract

Goncharenko A. V. Operation of active transport systems in conditions of multi-alternativeness and uncertainty. – Manuscript. Dissertation for a doctor degree on the specialty 05.22.20 – Operation and repair of transportation means. – National Aviation University, Kyiv, 2016. The dissertation is devoted to elaboration of optimal control methods for safe operation of active transportation systems on the basis of mathematical modeling application results for complex systems functioning in conditions of multi-alternativeness and possible conflicts, with the help of the subjective entropy maximum principle postulated in subjective analysis. Theoretical indexes of subjective preferences certainty/uncertainty are developed, which on the opposite of the traditional entropy show at the individual preferences directions as well as they are more convenient tools for research and measures of the preferences certainty/uncertainty through their relative values and the sign of the certainty/uncertainty inclination. Generalized models that reflect the principle dependence between individual preferences of subjects, who are the active elements of the operational control systems, and objective functions of effectiveness and safety in cases of discrete and continuous alternatives are developed. Complex technical-economical-social criteria of transportation means operation and repair control, which take into consideration the existed multi-alternativeness and possible conflictability of operational situations explicitly, are developed.