Models that take into account the main factors of forecasting in air transport

Abstract

In long-term forecasting, it is necessary to take into account the nature of the factors that determine the quantity-demand. Where it is necessary to carry out a complete analysis of demand, the forecasting methodology should include the following steps: establishing a form of relationship between expected variables and levels of demand for air transportation, including changes in these levels; forecasting expected levels of external factors in the project year;forecasting the future levels of demand for transportation at the established levels of external factors.